Credit Risk & Solvency Guide
Understanding financial ratios & the Z-Score
Developed by NYU Stern Professor Edward Altman in 1968, the Z-Score is one of the most widely used multivariate credit risk predictors in global finance.
- Safe Zone (Z > 2.99): Indicates robust balance sheet strength and negligible near-term default risk.
- Grey Zone (1.81 ≤ Z ≤ 2.99): Company is solvent but exposed to macroeconomic shocks or cash crunches.
- Distress Zone (Z < 1.81): Statistically high probability of Chapter 11 bankruptcy or debt restructuring within 24 months.
Decompose equity yields in the DuPont Analysis Lab.