Capital Budgeting & Enterprise Risk
Understanding RAROC & Economic Capital
Key risk-adjusted performance principles governing capital allocation:
- Expected Loss (EL) vs Unexpected Loss (UL): Expected Loss is the predictable cost of risk priced into loan interest margins ($EL = EAD imes PD imes LGD$). Unexpected Loss is the extreme volatility in losses that must be absorbed by equity capital.
- Economic Capital (EC): The equity buffer determined via internal credit VaR models at a high confidence level (e.g. 99.9% 1-year horizon) to protect against insolvency.
- Value Accretion Benchmark: If $ ext{RAROC} > ext{Hurdle Rate}$, the facility generates positive economic profit (SVA), increasing enterprise value. If $ ext{RAROC} < ext{Hurdle Rate}$, the facility destroys capital and must be repriced or collateralized.
- Credit Structuring & Mitigation: Improving collateral (reducing LGD) or obtaining third-party guarantees (reducing PD) lowers both Expected Loss and Economic Capital, dramatically lifting RAROC.
Model credit risk fundamentals in the Credit Risk & Expected Loss Lab.